Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Karpaty Lviv		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.85
	2.22	3.1	3.2
	2.48	3.2	2.92
	2.51	3.26	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.32	3.3	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.8)	3.15 ↑ (3.07)	3.07 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
39.8%

Draw
29.7%

Polissya Zhytomyr
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karpaty Lviv's performance.

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polissya Zhytomyr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Domchak N. (G) 28. Polegenko P. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 23. Alvarez P. 8. Chachua A. 37. Bruninho 19. Karabin Y. 95. Krasnopir I. 26. Kostenko Y.	1. Kudryk O. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 6. Talles Costa 30. Lednev B. 7. Nazarenko O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 55. Krushynskyi B.
Substitutes
3. Adamyuk V. 16. Chaban I. 17. Fedor O. 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 18. Klymenko V. 22. Kokodynyak Y. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 10. Neves I. 7. Paulo V. 33. Shakh A. 21. Tanda P.	18. Andriyevski O. 13. Beskorovaynyi D. 9. Filippov O. 40. Goncalves A. 11. Gutsulyak O. 2. Hadroj A. 34. Joao Vialle 38. Karaman Y. 60. Melnychenko M. 99. Uliganets V. (G) 23. Volynets Y. (G) 10. Yosefi T.
Coaches
Lupashko V.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Lednev B. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Gayduchyk M. ⚽, Mykhaylichenko B. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Nazarenko O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Paulo V. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
63', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Gutsulyak O. ↑,
63', Lednev B. ↓, Karaman Y. ↑,
66', Kostenko Y. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
66', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
68', Talles Costa 🟨,
68', Alvarez P. 🟨,
69', Gayduchyk M. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
69', Talles Costa ↓, Andriyevski O. ↑,
78', Bruninho 🟨,
79', Bruninho ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
79', Alvarez P. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
88', Baboglo V. 🟨,
89', Filippov O. (Pen),
90+3', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,

Preview

Polissya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karpaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karpaty could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Karpaty Lviv - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Karpaty Lviv - Al-Sharjah	1:1 ✺
17.07.25	Győri ETO - Karpaty Lviv	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Wolfsberger - Karpaty Lviv	3:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.05.25	Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTL
- Polissya Zhytomyr
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	FC Santa Coloma - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
24.07.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Santa Coloma	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Puskás Academy - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sturm Graz - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - DAC Dunajská Streda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	1:1
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3
Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.24	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:3
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.11.22	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2
07.10.22	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	2:0

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