Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Karpaty Lviv		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.55
	1.66	3.51	5.22
	5.57	1.26	10.38	Watch
	1.85	3.55	4.75	Watch
	1.5	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.49)	3.14 ↓ (3.9)	6.22 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
45.9%

Draw
36%

Rukh Lviv
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Karpaty (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karpaty Lviv will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Domchak N. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 18. Klymenko V. 23. Alvarez P. 7. Paulo V. 8. Chachua A. 37. Bruninho 26. Kostenko Y. 10. Neves I.	1. Gereta Y. (G) 23. Kopyna Y. 92. Slyubyk B. 4. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 5. Edson Fernando 14. Kvasnytsya I. 10. Prytula O. (C) 8. Raileanu V. 7. Klayver 99. Faal B.
Substitutes
9. Fabiano 22. Kokodynyak Y. 95. Krasnopir I. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 25. Palacios D. 33. Shakh A. 77. Sych O. 21. Tanda P.	77. Almazbekov B. 56. Boyko M. 75. Kitela A. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 25. Levytskyi B. 15. Pidgurskyi D. 93. Roman V. 11. Runich V. 63. Sapuga M. 17. Slyusar D. 21. Tutti
Coaches
Lupashko V.	Fedyk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Paulo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Edson Fernando 🟨,
60', Paulo V. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
68', Kvasnytsya I. ↓, Runich V. ↑,
73', Kostenko Y. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
73', Alvarez P. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
75', Kopyna Y. ↓, Roman V. ↑,
76', Raileanu V. ↓, Slyusar D. ↑,
84', Klymenko V. ↓, Sych O. ↑,
84', Neves I. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
86', Prytula O. ↓, Sapuga M. ↑,
86', Edson Fernando ↓, Pidgurskyi D. ↑,
90+5', Jean Pedroso 🟨,
90+5', Lyakh R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Karpaty is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	3:3 ✺
22.09.25	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWL
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.25	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Rukh Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.24	Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
21.10.24	Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv	0:1

Upcoming Matches