Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3


	Karviná		Zlín

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.7
	1.82	3.6	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.64	4.25
	3.02	3.72	2.13	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	1.84	3.86	3.91	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
47.9%

Draw
26.4%

Zlín
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Karviná have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Karviná - Zlín Predictions

Users Predictions: Karviná will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karviná will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 21. Buzek A. 37. Krcik D. 49. Camara S. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 6. Bohac S. 9. Labik A. 14. Ayaosi E. 10. Samko D. 27. Singhateh E. 12. Gning A.	17. Dostal S. (G) 23. Kopecny M. 39. Krapka A. 24. Cernin J. 22. Fukala M. 19. Nombil C. 6. Didiba J. 82. Pisoja M. 26. Cupak M. 31. Bartosak L. (C) 15. Koubek M.
Substitutes
31. Conde O. 15. Endl L. 26. Ezeh L. 11. Kacor P. 3. Lawali Y. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 1. Neuman V. (G) 8. Planka D. 77. Storman R. 4. Traore A. 13. Vecheta F.	1. Belanik S. (G) 91. Kalabiska J. 14. Kanu S. 28. Kolar J. 8. Machalik D. 11. Natchkebia Z. 36. Ovesny R. 16. Petruta S. 79. Polasek S. 88. Poznar T. 4. Ulbrich T.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Cervenka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Fleisman J. (Own goal),
14', Didiba J. 🟨,
36', Bohac S. 🟨,
37', Koubek M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bartosak L. ↓, Natchkebia Z. ↑,
46', Didiba J. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
46', Samko D. 🟨,
46', Bohac S. ↓, Planka D. ↑,
67', Nombil C. 🟨,
67', Ayaosi E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
68', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
69', Koubek M. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
72', Singhateh E. 🟥,
74', Fukala M. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
85', Buzek A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
85', Gning A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
90+5', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Kolar J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.

Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zlín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Zlín has had a series of home games.

In this match, Karviná is considered a favorite.

There are questionable in Karviná: Chytry J. (Injury) Lapes J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.25	Hradec Králové - Karviná	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Karviná - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Karviná - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Žilina - Karviná	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Karviná - Trenčín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWW
- FC Zlín
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.25	Zlín - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Teplice - Zlín	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Zlín - Swarovski Tirol	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	Zlín - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Zlín - Trenčín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
12.05.24	Karviná - Zlín	2:2
28.04.24	Zlín - Karviná	0:1
22.07.23	Karviná - Zlín	4:1
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Karviná - Zlín	0:2
Czech 1 Liga
23.04.22	Karviná - Zlín	1:1
11.12.21	Zlín - Karviná	2:1
14.08.21	Karviná - Zlín	2:3

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