Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin)

Referee: Volek S. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Zlín		Slovácko

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.85
	2.3	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.34	3.7	2.78
	2.27	3.89	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75
	2.32	3.6	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.78 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlín
40.2%

Draw
26.4%

Slovácko
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Zlín - Slovácko Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Slovácko will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovácko: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovácko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 23. Kopecny M. 6. Didiba J. 28. Kolar J. 82. Pisoja M. 19. Nombil C. 26. Cupak M. 8. Machalik D. 53. Hellebrand T. 15. Koubek M. 88. Poznar T. (C)	33. Urban A. (G) 5. Vasko F. 28. Danicek V. 3. Rundic M. 25. Ndubuisi P. 10. Travnik M. (C) 20. Havlik M. 2. Ndefe G. 27. Ouanda A. 17. Suchan J. 72. Horak R.
Substitutes
64. Bachurek S. (G) 30. Branecky L. 13. Dornak F. 21. Grygera D. 91. Kalabiska J. 34. Knobloch M. (G) 39. Krapka A. 5. Penkevics K. 10. Pesek J. 4. Ulbrich T.	15. Blahut P. 16. Fiala A. 29. Heca M. (G) 7. Koscelnik M. 26. Kostadinov T. 21. Krmencik M. 9. Marinelli A. 18. Mulder J. 4. Stojcevski A. 6. Svidersky M. 8. Tetour D.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Skuhravy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kolar J. ⚽, Machalik D. (A),
45+1', Vasko F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Danicek V. ↓, Stojcevski A. ↑,
46', Ndubuisi P. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
46', Travnik M. ↓, Tetour D. ↑,
46', Suchan J. ↓, Kostadinov T. ↑,
46', Vasko F. ↓, Blahut P. ↑,
46', Nombil C. ↓, Penkevics K. ↑,
58', Ndefe G. 🟨,
68', Koubek M. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
68', Poznar T. ↓, Dornak F. ↑,
73', Hellebrand T. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
78', Kopecny M. 🟨,
81', Machalik D. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
85', Skuhravy R. 🟨,
88', Dornak F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1.

Zlín is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slovácko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Zlín: Cernin J. (Red Card) Dostal S. (Injury) Jugas J. (Knee Injury) Petruta S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Slovácko: Petrzela M. (Injury) Reinberk P. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Slovacko	10	1	4	5	9:16	-7	7
16	Zlin	10	0	1	9	8:20	-12	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Czech 1 Liga
16.05.26	Baník Ostrava - Zlín	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Zlín - Teplice	2:4 ✺
09.05.26	Mladá Boleslav - Zlín	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Zlín - Dukla Prague	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pardubice - Zlín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWL
- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
16.05.26	Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
12.05.26	Slovácko - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Teplice - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Slovácko - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
23.11.25	Slovácko - Zlín	2:0
26.07.25	Zlín - Slovácko	1:1
18.02.24	Zlín - Slovácko	2:1
02.09.23	Slovácko - Zlín	1:0
19.03.23	Slovácko - Zlín	3:0
02.10.22	Zlín - Slovácko	0:2
19.02.22	Zlín - Slovácko	1:0

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