Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dolicek (Prague)

Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Bohemians 1905		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.72
	3.9	3.55	1.85
	4.35	3.78	1.89
	3.96	3.73	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.85
	3.94	3.55	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.61)	3.61 ↓ (3.89)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bohemians 1905
23.1%

Draw
25.9%

Sparta Prague
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bohemians 1905 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fruhwald T. (G) 25. Kareem P. 3. Kadlec M. 27. Lischka D. 28. Hulka L. (C) 24. Havel M. 47. Cermak A. 42. Smrz V. 77. Ristovski M. 10. Matousek J. 20. Drchal V.	44. Surovcik J. (G) 17. Sonne O. 25. Sorensen A. 19. Sevinsky A. 7. Mercado J. 38. Sochurek H. 6. Kairinen K. 18. Irving A. 21. Grimaldo J. 10. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L. (C)
Substitutes
8. Hruby R. 19. Kovarik J. 66. Mikuda O. 32. Mirvald P. 12. Reichl M. (G) 71. Siman J. (G) 99. Sosseh G. 17. Tichy J. 18. Vala D. 9. Yusuf	5. Eneme S. 3. Kaderabek P. 61. Kerl Dan. (G) 36. Kuol G. 20. Mannsverk S. 4. Martinec J. 27. Panak F. 9. Rrahmani A. 11. Rynes M. 66. Zajac S. (G) 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Vesely J.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mercado J. 🟥,
24', Irving A. ↓, Rynes M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Ristovski M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Hulka L. ⚽,
64', Hulka L. 🟨,
65', Sochurek H. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
65', Sonne O. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
66', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
69', Sevinsky A. 🟨,
69', Matousek J. ↓, Yusuf ↑,
74', Grimaldo J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
74', Kuchta J. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
78', Kadlec M. ↓, Kovarik J. ↑,
78', Havel M. ↓, Hruby R. ↑,
87', Kareem P. 🟨,
87', Priske B. 🟨,
90', Cermak A. ↓, Sosseh G. ↑,
90', Drchal V. ↓, Mikuda O. ↑,
90', Rynes M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 0.

Bohemians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sparta Prague is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sparta Prague is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bohemians: Banda M. (Injury) Plestil D. (Injury) Vondra J. (Injury) Zeman V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Cobbaut E. (Groin Injury) Penxa O. (Knee Injury) Uchenna E. (Groin Injury) Vindahl P. (Foot Injury) Vojta M. (Injury) Vydra P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bohemians: Sakala B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sparta Prague	9	5	0	4	18:12	6	15
11	Bohemians	9	3	3	3	10:11	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Prague - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bohemians 1905 - Zlín	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hradec Králové - Bohemians 1905	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.03.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Bohemians 1905	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLTL
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Teplice - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sparta Prague - Karviná	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.03.26	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
28.10.25	Sparta Prague - Bohemians 1905	2:1
07.12.24	Sparta Prague - Bohemians 1905	1:0
10.08.24	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	1:2
13.04.24	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	1:3
04.11.23	Sparta Prague - Bohemians 1905	2:0
Czech Cup
01.11.23	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	1:2
Czech 1 Liga
20.05.23	Sparta Prague - Bohemians 1905	2:1

Upcoming Matches