Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 22

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Gocek H. (Tur)


	Kasımpaşa		Giresunspor

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	1.98	3.55	3.45
	1.99	3.5	3.4
	2.08	3.77	3.54
	2	3.6	3.4
	1.97	3.78	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
46.5%

Draw
25.9%

Giresunspor
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	48.4%	16.1%

Kasımpaşa - Giresunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Giresunspor will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 48.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).

Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 16 (12.65%), has project points - 38, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Giresunspor has the most likely position - 16 (13.76%), has project points - 38, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 59, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Giresunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kasımpaşa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There are questionable in Giresunspor: Kilic A. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
29.01.23	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	5:1 ✺
21.01.23	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
04.01.23	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW
- Giresunspor
Turkish Super League
28.01.23	Giresunspor - Galatasaray	0:4 ✺
20.01.23	Adana Demirspor - Giresunspor	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Antalyaspor - Giresunspor	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Giresunspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
05.01.23	Trabzonspor - Giresunspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
20.08.22	Giresunspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0
16.01.22	Giresunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2
21.08.21	Kasımpaşa - Giresunspor	2:0

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