Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 17

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Medical Park Stadium (Trabzon)

Referee: Palabiyik A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Trabzonspor		Giresunspor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.75
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.56	3.85	5.75
	1.54	3.9	5.8
	1.58	4.17	6.29
	1.53	3.9	6.5
	1.54	4.15	5.85	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	3.95 ↑ (3.9)	5.97 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
60.5%

Draw
23.7%

Giresunspor
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.3%	5.8%	5.8%

Trabzonspor - Giresunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (121 of 137 users predict this - 88.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 93.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

Trabzonspor has the most likely position - 4 (16.88%), has project points - 62, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Giresunspor has the most likely position - 14 (9.99%), has project points - 42, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 26, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giresunspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trabzonspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trabzonspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S. (Knee Injury) Bartra M. (Red Card) Denswil S. (Injury) Tokoz D. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Trabzonspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
28.12.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
24.12.22	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
21.12.22	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Crystal Palace - Trabzonspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTT
- Giresunspor
Turkish Super League
29.12.22	Giresunspor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
24.12.22	Hatayspor - Giresunspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
21.12.22	Giresunspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
15.12.22	Beşiktaş - Giresunspor	5:3 ✺
12.12.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Giresunspor	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLL?

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.01.22	Trabzonspor - Giresunspor	1:1
29.08.21	Giresunspor - Trabzonspor	0:1

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