Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Insee Chantarasatit Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Kasetsart		Police Tero

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	2.92
	2.34	3.61	2.57	Watch
	2.41	2.97	2.85
	2.4	3.4	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasetsart
38.4%

Draw
28.1%

Police Tero
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasetsart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasetsart than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+1%)

Kasetsart - Police Tero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Wellington Smith ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Wellington Smith ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 3, Aon-pean V. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Sawasdee A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Kasetsart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Police Tero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kasetsart won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kasetsart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasetsart FC
Thai League 2
26.10.25	Chanthaburi - Kasetsart	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kasetsart - Nakhon Si United	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mahasarakham - Kasetsart	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pattani - Kasetsart	3:3 ✺
28.09.25	Kasetsart - Bangkok FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Police Tero
Thai League 2
25.10.25	Police Tero - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Trat - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Rasisalai United - Police Tero	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Police Tero - Chiangmai United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.04.25	Kasetsart - Police Tero	1:1
22.12.24	Police Tero - Kasetsart	0:1

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