Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 27

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Akzhayik

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.77	2.8	5.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)	5.98 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
51.9%

Draw
32.8%

Akzhayik
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

32.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaspiy Aktau's performance.

Akzhayik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akzhayik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaspiy Aktau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akzhayik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Mokin A. (G) 23. Nabikhanov A. 13. Taykenov M. 5. Taipov K. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 47. Nusip A. 28. Strizhkov N. 21. Marat D. 7. Kabylan B. 77. Aimanov A. 70. Tazhikenov S.	1. Bakitov A. (G) 88. Tazhimukanov E. 33. Gaysiev S. 6. Redzhepov T. 14. Omarov B. 9. Gladchenko M. 23. Murat E. 96. Antipov I. 79. Chirkov R. 19. Odzhiev M. 91. Kubashev C.
Substitutes
66. Doronin A. 71. Karimov R. 78. Khalmatov M. 10. Konlimkos B. 12. Mukhanov O. (G) 27. Mukhit A. 17. Shamshi S. 14. Zaynetdinov D. 48. Zhumabay E. 30. Zhumakhanov S. 11. Zulfikarov B.	95. Geronimus I. 99. Latychevskiy A. (G) 70. Sultantemirov A. 21. Umbetov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Aimanov A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Marat D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Nusip A. ↓, Konlimkos B. ↑,
58', Kabylan B. ↓, Shamshi S. ↑,
62', 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Marat D. ⚽,
66', Antipov I. ↓, Geronimus I. ↑,
66', Kubashev C. ↓, Umbetov T. ↑,
67', Aimanov A. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
67', Strizhkov N. ↓, Zhumabay E. ↑,
77', Marat D. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
26.09.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Kaspiy Aktau	3:2 ✺
19.09.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat 2	4:2 ✺
12.09.24	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
05.09.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
30.08.24	Kaisar 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh First League
27.09.24	Arys - Akzhayik	0:1 ✺
23.09.24	Akzhayik - Arys	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Akzhayik - Kaisar 2	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Khan Tengri - Akzhayik	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Altai Semey - Akzhayik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
11.06.24	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1
Kazakh Premier League
29.10.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	0:0
20.08.22	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	2:1
17.07.22	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1
Kazakh Premier League
24.10.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	2:2
24.05.21	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3

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