Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Ismuratov A. (Kaz)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.6	2.95	1.92
	3.75	3.08	1.93
	3.82	3.36	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.15	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.02)	3.13 ↓ (3.32)	1.95 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
24.8%

Draw
28.9%

Kyzylzhar
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

27.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaspiy Aktau's form might have worsened.

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyzylzhar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaspiy Aktau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaspiy Aktau - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Plotnikov M. (G) 91. Avric F. 17. Berdibek D. 9. Chernomyrdin M. 8. Chernyak I. 2. Kocev S. 22. Kusyapov T. 34. Ovsenek Z. 27. Taipi S. 19. Taykenov M. (C) 11. Udo S.	1. Babakhanov D. (G) 27. Berezkin E. 89. Bulatovic D. 8. Bushman Y. 9. Chikanchi M. 19. Imnadze L. 3. Naumov N. 24. Podio P. 14. Saulet A. 12. Shadmanov B. 11. Tapalov E. (C)
Substitutes
92. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 77. Bekeshov M. 93. Bugulov G. 30. Gabiden A. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 12. Mukhanov O. (G) 6. Rejepov T. 10. Usenov D. 37. Zhanibekuly A. 76. Zhazmagambetov Z.	2. Adilov A. 13. Khlyobas D. 73. Kumarov A. 7. Muldinov T. 6. Ospanov R. 32. Petrov V. (G) 16. Shakhmetov M. 10. Smilyanich B. 25. Stepanov R. (G) 4. Zyabko V.
Coaches
Gorovenko K.	Aliyev A.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kaspiy Aktau won 2.

Kaspiy Aktau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kyzylzhar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyzylzhar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kaspiy Aktau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaspiy Aktau won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
12.08.23	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aksu	3:1 ✺
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
23.07.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
13.08.23	Kyzylzhar - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	2:1 ✺
02.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
22.04.23	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1
06.11.22	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	4:1
Kazakh Cup
07.08.22	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:3
10.07.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kyzylzhar	1:1
Kazakh Premier League
05.03.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kyzylzhar	1:0
03.10.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Kyzylzhar	1:2
15.05.21	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0

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