Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 4

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Atoyan Stadium (Oral)


	Akzhayik		Arys

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	2.15	3.75	2.75	Watch
	1.93	3.53	3.48	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	1.79	3.58	3.88
	2.15	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.28)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	3.04 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akzhayik
44.3%

Draw
25.5%

Arys
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akzhayik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Arys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akzhayik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arys than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akzhayik - Arys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakitov A. (G) 77. Abdrakhmanov E. 71. Akhmet A. 10. Bulatov A. 79. Chirkov R. 9. Gladchenko M. 91. Kubashev C. 19. Odzhiev M. 14. Omarov B. 5. Pokatilov V. 88. Tazhimukanov E.	13. Dzhubangaliev A. (G) 9. Amantayev M. 8. Kuralbaev E. 7. Maksymkhan S. (C) 52. Mukhametzhanov U. 21. Mynbay A. 33. Nazarov G. 23. Orynbek E. 14. Saidivaliev M. 71. Suleymen G. 22. Zulfikarov A.
Substitutes
17. Amangeldiev I. 96. Antipov I. 33. Gaysiev S. 15. Gelmanov M. 99. Latychevskiy A. (G) 23. Murat E. 70. Sultantemirov A. 21. Umbetov T.	11. Abbas A. 30. Amangeldy E. 20. Anapiya K. 3. Epbergen E. 18. Isakul D. 1. Kurmanas S. (G) 25. Tolbasy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Saidivaliev M. ⚽,
23', Pokatilov V. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Odzhiev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).

The competitors look crappy now.

Arys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Akzhayik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh First League
19.09.24	Akzhayik - Kaisar 2	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Khan Tengri - Akzhayik	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Altai Semey - Akzhayik	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Kairat 2 - Akzhayik	3:2 ✺
15.08.24	Akzhayik - Turkistan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
20.09.24	Aktobe 2 - Arys	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Khan Tengri - Arys	3:2 ✺
16.08.24	Arys - Kaisar 2	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Taraz - Arys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
25.08.23	Arys - Akzhayik	0:2
14.05.23	Akzhayik - Arys	0:1

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