Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	RTSH 2
World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Iliria

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.59	4.08	Watch
	1.77	3.5	3.98
	1.77	3.5	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.87)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	4.01 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
51.5%

Draw
25.8%

Iliria
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.8%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kastrioti's performance.

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iliria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastrioti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iliria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kastrioti - Iliria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hoxha E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, Pjetraj F. ⚽,
87', Gjinollari D. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Kastrioti is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iliria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Iliria has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Kastrioti - Devolli	3:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kastrioti - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Laçi - Kastrioti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLTL
- KS Iliria
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Iliria - Luzi United	5:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Iliria - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Iliria - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Cup
02.10.19	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:0

Kastrioti - Iliria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide