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Current Win Probability
Kastrioti 41.3%
Draw 30.3%
Iliria 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
30.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
31.5%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Iliria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
(0 - 1)
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kastrioti holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kastrioti has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kastrioti against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
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