The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 43.3%
Draw 27%
Altay 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.4%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
18.9%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Altay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 16).
Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 20 (25.07%), has project points - 35, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Altay has the most likely position - 17 (14.2%), has project points - 39, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Kasımpaşa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Altay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.