Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Kasımpaşa		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6	Watch
	1.37	4.8	6	Watch
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.6	4.59	5
	1.49	4.66	6.04
	1.33	4.75	6
	1.41	4.85	6.33	Watch
	1.41	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.79 ↑ (4.08)	6.05 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
65.1%

Draw
19.5%

Bandırmaspor
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

21.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kasımpaşa - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kasımpaşa will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yanar A. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 29. Aydin T. 58. Ozcan Y. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 35. Kara A. (C) 20. Dilli S. 42. Yigit E. 10. Hajradinovic H. 97. Gomis I. 18. Da Costa N.	16. Alkan A. (G) 19. Berisbek R. 57. Batuhan Y. 20. Celik M. 3. Adiguzel B. 41. Ozcan M. 7. Soukou C. 25. Foor N. 10. Davas D. C. (C) 9. Mimaroglu M. 77. Cecenoglu M.
Substitutes
13. Aktas A. 7. Fall M. 1. Gianniotis A. (G) 6. Gul G. 90. Kilinc A. E. 19. Yavrucu S.	53. Albayrak M. 5. Aydogan E. 30. Burgaz G. 42. Cakaltarla E. (G) 70. Celibkay T. 2. Djitte M. 1. Gelios I. (G) 18. Ozisikyildiz A. 35. Picinciol S.
Coaches
Ugurlu S.	Eroglu H.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kasımpaşa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bandırmaspor have a series of home games.

In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
09.01.24	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
05.01.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
25.12.23	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWTT
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
13.01.24	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
24.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Adanaspor	2:3 ✺
20.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Somaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLW

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