Match Info

1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.63	Watch
	2.43	3.14	2.76
	2.7	3.16	2.76
	2.51	3.24	2.76	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.53	2.98	2.63	Watch
	2.54	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.86)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	2.72 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
36.4%

Draw
29.9%

Erzurumspor
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Erzurumspor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bandırmaspor (1.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Erzurumspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 6. Ciftci H. 33. Nukan A. 53. Albayrak M. 77. Berisbek R. 92. Mulumba R. 30. Acar E. 10. Gumuskaya M. 17. Ndongala D. 99. Douglas Tanque 7. Bacuna L.	31. Orbanic M. (G) 99. Fettahoglu M. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 15. Giorbelidze G. 53. Ovacikli O. 6. Baiye B. 8. Akgun S. 24. Crociata G. 10. Tozlu E. 77. Keser B.
Substitutes
16. Alkan A. (G) 34. Aydin E. 23. Burgaz G. 88. Can Y. 8. Cinemre E. 9. Kehinde T. 94. Samake W. 11. Topalli J. 18. Turkmen C. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)	1. Anapa E. (G) 35. Erdem E. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 3. Kirtay Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Tozlu E. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acar E. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
46', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
67', Keser B. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
68', Albayrak M. ↓, Topalli J. ↑,
69', Mulumba R. 🟨,
69', Gerxhaliu A. 🟨,
77', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
83', Ndongala D. ↓, Samake W. ↑,
88', Akgun S. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
89', Crociata G. 🟨,
89', Sylla C. 🟨,
90+1', Kabak A. 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, Baiye B. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Hountondji C. (International duty) Kalender T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akpinar M. (Suspended) Bayrak C. (Suspended) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Onal M. (Suspended) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Yener H. (Suspended)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Erzurumspor - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
15.05.25	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	2:0
18.01.25	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0
11.08.24	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	3:2
13.01.24	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0
13.08.23	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1
24.04.23	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	2:4
27.11.22	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:2

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