The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kwara United 69.2%
Draw 22.8%
Katsina United 8.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
27.6%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
28.8%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kwara United's performance.
Katsina United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katsina United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kwara United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katsina United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kwara United - Katsina United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 26. Abidemi O. 27. Adekinle S. 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 17. Alalade W. 18. Gata A. 23. Kabiru M. 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.
21. Kolimba A. (G) 5. Abdullahi M. 18. Abdultaofik A. 7. Achare M. 8. Azeez F. 4. Barau U. (C) 39. Ihejiofor C. 9. Kingsley I. 3. Nasiru S. 14. Okoko E. 31. Yallilo A. K.
Substitutes
2. Abdullahi H. 22. Abubakar A. (G) 30. Gata I. 5. Gbadamosi J. 4. Nosiru A. 32. Omolaoye A. . Saheed O. 11. Sanni 15. Ulunwa S. C.
15. Adamu S. . Aliyu M. 13. Hamisu S. (G) . Ibrahim N. 24. Kangiwa N. 2. Mansoor S. 33. Mohammed I. 19. Nura A. 38. Yushau A.
Coaches
Sanni T.
Sadauki B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', 🟨,
5', 🟨,
8', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Gata I. (Pen),
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 15).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Katsina United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Kwara have a series of guest games.
In this match Kwara is indisputable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).