The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akwa United 63.3%
Draw 23.7%
Heartland 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
29.3%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
28.4%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akwa United's performance.
Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heartland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akwa United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heartland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Akwa United - Heartland Predictions
Users Predictions:
Akwa United will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Ovunda D. (G) 9. Alaekwe C. 35. Apollos F. 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 19. Onunze P. 21. Philip D.
23. Nwokocha E. (G) 18. Anyanwu P. 12. Eyigege P. 33. Ige T. 15. Ikwu E. 26. Molokwu C. 14. Nkwo C. 13. Odo J. 28. Olanrewaju M. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.
Substitutes
28. Abdullahi K. 34. Akala O. 7. Bala R. 18. Efala J. (G) 31. Ibrahim A. 2. Ini E. 24. James E. 11. Mubarak S.
17. Adoh F. 8. Agor C. 34. Charles E. 4. Chijioke O. 37. Chubuike B. 30. Ogunga K. (G) 19. Osinachi W. 6. Ozor C. 16. Samuel W.
Coaches
Abdullahi U.
Amuneke E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Ebedebiri E. (Pen),
45+1', Ndon W. ↓, James E. ↑,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Anyanwu P. ↓, Adoh F. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Alaekwe C. ⚽,
80', Alaekwe C. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
90+2', Apollos F. ↓, Ini E. ↑,
90+2', Onunze P. ↓, Bala R. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Heartland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Akwa United is certain favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Akwa United won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.7:0.4).
Nigeria
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Ovunda D. (G) 
Alaekwe C. 
Efala J. (G) 
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