Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Groenendaal (Heemstede)


	Koninklijke HFC		Katwijk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.35	2.28
	2.67	3.43	2.38
	2.71	3.72	2.28	Watch
	2.74	3.36	2.28
	2.62	3.33	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)	3.44 ↓ (3.72)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koninklijke HFC
34%

Draw
26.5%

Katwijk
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michaelis M. (G) 16. Muller J. 23. de Boer T. 3. Heeremans R. 77. Morgan A. 2. Ploem M. 4. Vlak G. 17. de Wilde L. 6. Tros K. 87. Ladan D. 10. Dijkstra C.	41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 21. Bouwense L. 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. 6. van der Meer R. 22. Brenna M. 16. van Wageningen D. 7. Korte G. 19. Tahiri M. 10. Suleiman M.
Substitutes
9. Donker N. 27. Girault C. 7. Klomp F. 8. Lahri O. 24. Mussche S. 19. Ras T. 12. van der Sar J. (G)	8. Janmaat F. 1. Kesting J. (G) 46. Menelik A. 29. Mengerink M. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 14. van der Veldt K. 38. Zandbergen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tahiri M. (Pen),
36', Tahiri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muller J. ↓, Girault C. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, van der Meer R. ⚽, Sinteur B. (A),
58', Heeremans R. ↓, Lahri O. ↑,
58', de Wilde L. ↓, Donker N. ↑,
73', Vlak G. ↓, Klomp F. ↑,
75', Brenna M. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,
79', Tros K. ↓, Mussche S. ↑,
82', Lahri O. 🟨,
86', Tahiri M. ↓, Mengerink M. ↑,
86', Ravensbergen J. ↓, van der Veldt K. ↑,
86', Korte G. ↓, Zandbergen V. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 2.

Recent form of HFC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Katwijk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Katwijk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, HFC won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, HFC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Koninklijke HFC - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koninklijke HFC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	De Treffers - Koninklijke HFC	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Koninklijke HFC - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	BVV Barendrecht - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	HSC 21 - Koninklijke HFC	3:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Koninklijke HFC - Jong Almere City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	ACV - Katwijk	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Katwijk - De Treffers	2:4 ✺
08.11.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - Katwijk	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Katwijk - Vitesse	2:1 penalties ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.01.25	Katwijk - Koninklijke HFC	0:1
31.08.24	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	0:0
13.04.24	Katwijk - Koninklijke HFC	3:1
09.03.24	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	2:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Katwijk - Koninklijke HFC	0:0
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.04.23	Katwijk - Koninklijke HFC	1:1
05.11.22	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	1:3

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