Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Krom (Katwijk)


	Katwijk		BVV Barendrecht

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.9	3.35
	1.84	4.39	3.28	Watch
	1.77	3.92	3.59	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	4 ↓ (4.39)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katwijk
50.3%

Draw
22.7%

BVV Barendrecht
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

21.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

21.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

BVV Barendrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 4. Maatsen D. 6. van der Meer R. 3. Ravensbergen J. 7. Korte G. 22. Brenna M. 21. Bouwense L. (C) 10. Suleiman M. 19. Tahiri M. 16. van Wageningen D.	1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 4. Vermeer W. 15. Rook K. 24. Ouali R. 8. Jongman J. (C) 6. Bayram T. 21. Mrowicki O. 9. van der Heiden D. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
11. Helder J. 1. Kesting J. (G) 46. Menelik A. 29. Mengerink M. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 14. van der Veldt K. 25. Zandbergen V.	10. Fortes E. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 26. Polak G. 25. Rimon R. 19. van Mierlo R. 14. Versluis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Korte G. ⚽, Tahiri M. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Mrowicki O. ⚽, Ouali R. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Tahiri M. ⚽, Brenna M. (A),
32', Vermeer W. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
40', 2 - 2, Brand J. ⚽, Ouali R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Suleiman M. ↓, Helder J. ↑,
50', Ouali R. 🟨,
52', 3 - 2, Tahiri M. (Pen),
70', 3 - 3, Jouhri N. ⚽, van der Heiden D. (A),
72', Ravensbergen J. 🟨,
73', Korte G. ↓, Mengerink M. ↑,
82', 4 - 3, Bouwense L. ⚽, Maatsen D. (A),
84', Rook K. ↓, Versluis R. ↑,
84', van der Meer R. ↓, Menelik A. ↑,
84', Tahiri M. ↓, van der Pluijm Y. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 4.

Katwijk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barendrecht is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Katwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Katwijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.10.25	Jong Almere City - Katwijk	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kozakken Boys - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Katwijk - IJsselmeervogels	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Quick Boys - Katwijk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWL
- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.10.25	BVV Barendrecht - De Treffers	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - BVV Barendrecht	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	ACV - BVV Barendrecht	1:5 ✺
27.09.25	BVV Barendrecht - Jong Almere City	4:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	Kozakken Boys - BVV Barendrecht	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
01.02.25	BVV Barendrecht - Katwijk	1:2
07.09.24	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:1
20.04.19	BVV Barendrecht - Katwijk	1:1
01.12.18	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:0
20.01.18	BVV Barendrecht - Katwijk	1:4
21.10.17	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	2:1
21.01.17	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	0:2

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