Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.15	1.42	Watch
	6.04	4.41	1.39
	6.4	4.17	1.43	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.4
	7.41	4.33	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (3.85)	4.19 ↑ (3.58)	1.4 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
14%

Draw
21.5%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.4%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris 2's form might have worsened.

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BE1 NFA Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. BE1 NFA will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. BE1 NFA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

BE1 NFA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, BE1 NFA is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
12	Kauno Zalgiris 2	25	7	1	17	23:43	-20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTL
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	2:3 ✺
18.03.26	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
05.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:4
01.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1
30.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0
05.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2
08.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
19.05.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1

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