Match Info

I Lyga - Round 21

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Panevėžys 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	2.85
	1.88	3.9	3.1	Watch
	2.15	4.05	2.74
	2.15	4.18	2.62	Watch
	1.87	3.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.79)	3.99 ↓ (4.08)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
45.7%

Draw
22.9%

Panevėžys 2
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

22.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

21.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris 2's form might have worsened.

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panevėžys 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Panevėžys 2 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 1 - 25%). Panevėžys 2 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Miksiunas J. (G) 50. Buslys G. 49. Jakubauskas M. 61. Jankauskas J. 46. Milius T. 41. Rybelis A. (C) 48. Stelmokas T. 67. Tunc M. 74. Uzkurnys A. 65. Vizinis J. 30. Vosylius N.	12. Valius L. (G) 66. Balsys D. 19. Fedoruk B. 97. Karvatskyi A. 2. Klimavicius L. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 30. Slobodian A. 5. van den Bos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 3.

In recent matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Panevėžys 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kauno Žalgiris 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:5 ✺
09.08.25	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Ekranas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:4 ✺
22.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWL
- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Ekranas - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Panevėžys 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2
06.10.24	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:3
20.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0
27.10.23	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1
08.06.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:4
27.08.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:2
04.05.21	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1

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