Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)


	Panevėžys 2		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.51
	4.55	3.95	1.55	Watch
	4.23	3.95	1.58
	4.11	3.62	1.76	Watch
	5.32	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (4.79)	3.94 ↓ (4.13)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
19.7%

Draw
23%

BFA Vilnius
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.1%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.3%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 34. Asante I. 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 16. Fedoruk B. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 25. Lukosevicius I. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 30. Slobodian A.	76. Semaska U. (G) 44. Chachlauskas I. 77. Jurevicius Z. 4. Kezunas A. 20. Levsinas A. 24. Misiunas D. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 9. Perveinis M. 66. Pranckus P. 48. Sidlauskas A.
Substitutes
31. Butkus A. 45. Enoch G. 9. Jusys A. 22. Muraska G. 21. Pusnys M. 12. Valius L. (G)	3. Haleida Y. 74. Indriulis A. 5. Petrauskas D. 12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 2. Sauklys T. 22. Urbanavicius K. 15. Yakymenko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 0.

Recent form of Panevėžys 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

BFA is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, BFA has had a series of home games.

In this match, BFA is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:19. (average 2.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 3.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
10.08.25	Ekranas - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Panevėžys 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLL
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	0:0 ✺
23.07.25	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2
19.10.24	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:1
02.06.24	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	3:3
31.07.23	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:1
11.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	3:1
05.08.22	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:2
27.03.22	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2

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