Match Info

PFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)


	Kaya		Cebu FC

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	3.9	Watch
	1.63	3.34	5.09
	1.72	3.96	3.83	Watch
	1.63	3.52	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)	3.73 ↓ (4.88)	4.45 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaya
55.2%

Draw
24.4%

Cebu FC
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

18.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaya's form might have worsened.

Cebu FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kaya - Cebu FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Melliza J. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Ott Mi. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 3 - 0, Zambrano B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaya won 3.

Cebu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kaya is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kaya won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaya FC
Philippines PFL
21.09.25	Kaya - Mendiola	8:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.09.25	Kaya - Tampines Rovers	0:3 ✺
Philippines PFL
13.09.25	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Kaya - Cebu FC	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Kaya - Stallion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW
- Cebu FC
ASEAN Club Championship
24.09.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Cebu FC	1:0 ✺
Philippines PFL
20.09.25	Stallion - Cebu FC	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	One Taguig - Cebu FC	2:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
20.08.25	Cebu FC - Tampines Rovers	1:3 ✺
15.08.25	Cebu FC - Kasuka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines PFL
26.04.25	Kaya - Cebu FC	1:2
01.03.25	Cebu FC - Kaya	1:2
02.02.25	Kaya - Cebu FC	3:1
05.05.24	Kaya - Cebu FC	1:0
23.04.23	Cebu FC - Kaya	1:1
19.02.23	Kaya - Cebu FC	2:3
09.10.22	Cebu FC - Kaya	3:2

Kaya - Cebu FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide