Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Kayserispor		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.25
	1.72	3.6	4.6	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.68	4.58
	1.78	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.72	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.82)	4.39 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
52.5%

Draw
26.1%

Denizlispor
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Denizlispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denizlispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	9.7%	9.7%

Kayserispor - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kayserispor will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 21 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig).

Kayserispor has a good chance of relegated (59%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Denizlispor has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Kayserispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kayserispor is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kayserispor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kayserispor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
24.04.21	Beşiktaş - Kayserispor	3:1 ✺
20.04.21	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Konyaspor - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Kayserispor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
06.04.21	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLT
- Denizlispor
Turkish Super League
24.04.21	Denizlispor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Ankaragücü - Denizlispor	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:3 ✺
12.04.21	Alanyaspor - Denizlispor	3:2 ✺
08.04.21	Denizlispor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
06.01.21	Denizlispor - Kayserispor	0:1
15.02.20	Denizlispor - Kayserispor	0:1
21.09.19	Kayserispor - Denizlispor	1:1
Turkish First League
22.03.15	Denizlispor - Kayserispor	1:3
03.11.14	Kayserispor - Denizlispor	3:0

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