Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.6	6.5
	1.39	4.78	7.53
	1.42	4.8	7.8
	1.16	7.37	15.67	Watch
	1.42	5.01	7.92	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)	5.16 ↑ (4.3)	8.53 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
70.2%

Draw
18.5%

Kayserispor
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trabzonspor's performance.

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trabzonspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	4.2%	0%

Trabzonspor - Kayserispor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Trabzonspor (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Trabzonspor (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 15 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 15. Savic S. (C) 44. Batagov A. 19. Eskihellac M. 5. Yokuslu O. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 22. Zubkov O. 42. Inao Oulai C. 99. Felipe Augusto 30. Onuachu P.	25. Bayazit B. (G) 28. Civelek R. 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 3. Burak A. 24. Tokoz D. 30. Opoku A. 8. Benes L. 33. Soyalp F. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 9. Onugkha G.
Substitutes
23. Baniya R. 77. Bosluk A. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 74. Malkocoglu S. 10. Muci E. 70. Olaigbe K. 29. Saatci S. 14. Sikan D. 11. Tufan O. 7. Visca E.	38. Cihan K. 17. Kapacak B. 54. Kocaman A. 77. Korkmaz N. 20. Mane C. 10. Mendes J. 16. Ozbek E. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 22. Tuci I.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Gisdol M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Yokuslu O. ⚽, Onuachu P. (A),
42', Tokoz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Inao Oulai C. (A),
56', 3 - 0, Zubkov O. ⚽, Savic S. (A),
57', Tokoz D. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
58', Burak A. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
60', Zubkov O. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
69', Opoku A. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
73', Yokuslu O. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
74', Felipe Augusto ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
78', Civelek R. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
78', Onugkha G. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
85', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
86', Eskihellac M. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
90+4', Bayazit B. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 0, Onuachu P. (Pen),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trabzonspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B. (Inactive) Eskihellac M. (Inactive) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Injury) Mane C. (Inactive) Mendes J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 2.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
27.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Trabzonspor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLTW
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
28.09.25	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Kayserispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kocaelispor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
01.02.25	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	0:0
19.09.24	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	2:2
20.04.24	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:2
03.12.23	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	0:1
01.04.23	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	3:4
01.10.22	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:2
Turkish Cup
10.05.22	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	4:2

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