Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 25

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kolorcity Aréna (Kazincbarcika)


	Kazincbarcikai		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.71	3.2	4.9
	1.84	3.29	4.38
	1.83	3.26	4.7	Watch
	1.78	3.24	5.22
	1.71	3.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	4.93 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kazincbarcikai
53.3%

Draw
28%

Ajka
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Kazincbarcikai - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Dojcsak B. (G) 3. Bacsa B. S. 27. Bodi A. 5. Debreceni A. 10. Kartik B. 67. Lajcsik V. 15. Lucas 92. Myke 13. Polgar K. 44. Szujo A. 33. Varga J.	97. Szabados I. (G) 7. Borsos F. 19. Csizmadia Z. 30. Doncsecz L. 99. Garai Z. 25. Jagodics B. 14. Kovacs N. 23. Major G. 18. Sejben V. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G.
Substitutes
25. Baranyai N. 14. Csatari G. 1. Fadgyas T. (G) 11. Herjeczki K. 63. Katona I. 52. Kiraly M. (G) 7. Makrai G. 19. Petho B. 23. Pinter A. 77. Szabo M. 21. Ternovan P.	2. Csanadi B. 4. Frak M. 31. Horvath D. (G) 11. Kopacsi A. 8. Szabo B. 71. Toth T. 9. Zsolnai R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Jagodics B. ⚽,
24', Szujo A. 🟨,
41', Garai Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szujo A. ↓, Makrai G. ↑,
46', Bacsa B. S. ↓, Baranyai N. ↑,
56', Polgar K. 🟨,
56', Garai Z. ↓, Szabo B. ↑,
61', Csizmadia Z. 🟨,
66', Kartik B. ↓, Petho B. ↑,
66', Szabo B. 🟨,
68', Baranyai N. 🟨,
74', Sejben V. ↓, Zsolnai R. ↑,
74', Doncsecz L. ↓, Toth T. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Baranyai N. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
81', Bodi A. ↓, Herjeczki K. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kazincbarcikai won 2.

Recent matches Kazincbarcikai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajka is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kazincbarcikai have a series of guest games.

In this match Kazincbarcikai is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kazincbarcikai won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kazincbarcikai won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB II
13.04.25	Békéscsaba 1912 - Kazincbarcikai	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Szentlőrinc - Kazincbarcikai	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Kazincbarcikai - Tatabánya	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gyirmót - Kazincbarcikai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTWT
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
13.04.25	Kozármisleny - Ajka	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ajka - Tatabánya	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Budafoki - Ajka	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Ajka - Vasas	2:3 ✺
09.03.25	Kisvárda - Ajka	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
20.10.24	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:1
03.03.24	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:0
27.08.23	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:0
23.04.23	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:0
30.10.22	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:1
13.12.20	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:0
05.08.20	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	3:1

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