Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Kuwait	ATV, Shasha


	Kazma		Al Yarmouk Meshref

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
	1.4	4.5	6.2
	1.41	4.61	7.13	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8
	1.48	4.51	5.47
	1.4	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.62 ↑ (4.5)	6.67 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kazma
66.3%

Draw
19.9%

Al Yarmouk Meshref
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

17.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kazma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Al Yarmouk Meshref has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kazma than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kazma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Yarmouk Meshref than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Al Fahad A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Akinyoola S. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kazma won 4.

Recent matches Kazma is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Yarmouk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kazma is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Kazma won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38:13 (average 2.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kazma won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:7 (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kazma SC
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
07.03.25	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
27.02.25	Kazma - Al Kuwait	1:1 ✺
20.02.25	Khaitan - Kazma	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Kazma - Al-Fahaheel	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Al Qadsia - Kazma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTL
- Al Yarmouk Meshref
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
07.03.25	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
28.02.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Salmiya	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Arabi	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	0:4 ✺
09.02.25	Al Kuwait - Al Yarmouk Meshref	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
07.03.25	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1
Kuwaiti Premier League
02.11.24	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Kazma	0:2
17.02.22	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	0:0
26.11.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Kazma	1:3
26.12.20	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1
Kuwaiti Emir Cup
16.09.20	Kazma - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1
Kuwaiti Premier League
25.01.20	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Kazma	1:3

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