The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stjarnan 49.9%
Draw 22.2%
KA Akureyri 27.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
20.4%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
20.2%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Stjarnan - KA Akureyri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 3. Kjeldsen G. 25. Alexandersson C. 18. Nokkvason G. 21. Turay I. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E. (C)
13. Audunsson S. (G) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 23. Petursson M. M. 2. Baldvinsson B. 6. Romer A. 29. Arnason J. 21. Thordarson M. 8. Pedersen J. 10. Steingrimsson H. 7. Palsson A.
Substitutes
1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 36. Bjornsson A. 8. Gunnarsson J. 29. Hauksson A. 24. Jonsson S. 19. Leifsson A. 28. Saemundsson B. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.
14. Djuric D. 25. Helgason B. 99. Ingolfsson J. (G) 32. Johannsson S. 91. Kristinsson S. 77. Morales Einarsson O. A. 16. Robertsson J. 44. Saevarsson V. 22. Steingrimsson H.
Coaches
Hauksson J.
Jonasson H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
32', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Steingrimsson H. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 2, Palsson A. ⚽, Arnason J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Turay I. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
58', Atlason E. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
58', Ingason B. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
64', Palsson A. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑,
64', Thordarson M. ↓, Robertsson J. ↑,
68', Waren B. 🟥,
70', 0 - 3, Saevarsson V. ⚽, Gudmundsson H. (A),
79', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Steingrimsson H. ↑,
79', Pedersen J. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
79', Eggertsson O. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
79', Ingimarsson S. T. ↓, Jonsson S. ↑,
83', Steingrimsson H. ↓, Johannsson S. ↑,
83', Hauksson B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 3.
Stjarnan has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
KA Akureyri has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stjarnan holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:30 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stjarnan against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:18 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Stjarnan - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.