Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)


	Keflavík		Njarðvík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.5	Watch
	4.26	4.11	1.67	Watch
	2.23	3.68	2.57
	2.38	3.68	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.46)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
33.9%

Draw
24.9%

Njarðvík
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

22.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Njarðvík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Keflavík - Njarðvík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. 27. Gautason V. 4. Heras N. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Sigfusson K.	1. Fridriksson A. (G) 2. Aronsson D. 23. Boakye T. 9. Diouck O. 11. Gudnason F. 6. Hjorleifsson A. 7. Joao Ananias 10. Johannsson V. 19. Jonsson T. 3. Markusson S. 13. Radic D.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 3. Johannesson A. 14. Mudrazija M.	29. Al Mosawe A. 18. Bjornsson B. 8. Hogg K. 31. Kjartansson A. (G) 5. Magnusson A. 17. Thasaphong S. 21. Valgeirsson V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Diouck O. ⚽,
30', Heras N. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Jonsson T. (Pen),
34', Diouck O. 🟨,
35', Gautason V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Olafsson S. 🟨,
64', Joao Ananias 🟨,
64', Sigfusson K. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
64', Gautason V. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
65', Elvarsson F. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Ljubicic S. ⚽,
71', Joao Ananias ↓, Hogg K. ↑,
78', Al Ghoul M. 🟨,
82', Magnusson S. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
82', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
82', Gudnason F. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
88', Johannsson V. 🟨,
88', Johannsson V. ↓, Thasaphong S. ↑,
90', Elvarsson F. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
90+4', Diouck O. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
13.09.25	Selfoss - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	Keflavík - Völsungur	7:2 ✺
17.08.25	Fylkir - Keflavík	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Njarðvík
Icelandic Division 1
13.09.25	Njarðvík - Grindavik	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Njarðvík - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Njarðvík - Throttur Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1
26.06.25	Njarðvík - Keflavík	3:1
07.09.24	Njarðvík - Keflavík	0:0
26.06.24	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:1
Icelandic Cup
25.05.22	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:4
Icelandic Division 1
30.07.19	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:0
Icelandic Cup
28.05.19	Keflavík - Njarðvík	0:1 ET

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