Match Info

Division 1 - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: JÁVERK Völlurinn (Selfoss)


	Selfoss		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.8	1.87
	2.95	4.05	1.9
	2.99	4.38	1.94
	3.09	3.27	2.25	Watch
	2.99	4.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.7)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Selfoss
30.3%

Draw
23.3%

Keflavík
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.5%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24.2%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Selfoss's performance.

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Selfoss that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keflavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Selfoss - Keflavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Keflavík will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blakala R. (G) 17. Bergsson B. 4. Berntsson A. 9. Birgisson A. 22. Bodvarsson J. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 2. Sigurdsson I. 3. Sveinsson R. (C) 28. Sverrisson E. 32. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 27. Gautason V. 4. Heras N. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
6. Einarsson D. 77. Einarsson E. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 11. Sanabria A. 8. Tanke	18. Bjarnason E. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 3. Johannesson A. 14. Mudrazija M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Bodvarsson J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Ragnarsson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 2, Al Ghoul M. ⚽,
57', Sverrisson E. 🟨,
65', Birgisson A. ↓, Einarsson D. ↑,
65', Sverrisson E. ↓, Tanke ↑,
69', Sigfusson K. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
69', Einarsson D. 🟨,
70', Magnusson S. 🟨,
71', Sveinsson R. 🟨,
76', Brynjolfsson F. ↓, Einarsson E. ↑,
76', Bergsson B. ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
81', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
86', Gautason V. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Mudrazija M. ⚽, Ljubicic S. (A),
90+3', 1 - 4, Ljubicic S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Selfoss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Selfoss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
06.09.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Selfoss - Fjölnir	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Selfoss - HK Kópavogur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLLW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	Keflavík - Völsungur	7:2 ✺
17.08.25	Fylkir - Keflavík	4:0 ✺
13.08.25	Keflavík - Grindavik	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
03.07.25	Keflavík - Selfoss	3:2
Icelandic League Cup
28.02.25	Keflavík - Selfoss	3:0
28.02.21	Keflavík - Selfoss	2:0
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.17	Selfoss - Keflavík	1:2
25.05.17	Keflavík - Selfoss	2:2
01.08.16	Selfoss - Keflavík	0:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.09.12	Selfoss - Keflavík	2:1

Upcoming Matches