Match Info

African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moi International Sports Centre (Nairobi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 5, SuperSport Maximo 360
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Sports 2
Cameroon	15:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:00	beIN Connect
Finland	17:00	Veikkaus TV
France	16:00	beIN Sports MAX 9
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1
Kenya	17:00	KBC Channel 1
Laos	21:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	17:00	MATV
Malaysia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Singapore	22:00	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	16:00	SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	17:00	UBC TV
Usa	10:00	beIN Connect


	Kenya		Madagascar

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.8	4.5	Watch
	1.98	2.78	4.45	Watch
	1.95	2.85	5.11
	1.97	2.73	5.13	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.4
	1.96	2.97	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)	2.84 ↓ (3.09)	4.76 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya
48%

Draw
32.6%

Madagascar
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

30%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Kenya - Madagascar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kenya will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Omondi B. (G) Tusker 5. Omija A. Mahia 4. Kibwage M. Tusker 3. Omar A. (C) Police FC 8. Onyango A. Mahia 13. Esambe Bandi L. Leopards 21. Nabwire M. Police FC 20. Okwaro M. 11. Muchiri B. Ulinzi Stars 17. Omondi B. S. Mahia 15. Ogam R. Tusker	1. Ramandimbisoa M. (G) 19. Rabearivelo B. 3. Randrianirina H. 4. Randriamanampisoa N. (C) 21. Rabemananjara R. 2. Randriamanampsioa N. Disciples 10. Andrianarimanana A. Fosa Juniors 13. Razafimahatana M. 8. Rafanomezantsoa L. C. CFFA 9. Razafimaro F. Elgeco Plus 17. Ranaivoson J.
Substitutes
1. Faruk S. (G) Bandari 16. Juma M. Migori 7. Michira B. Shabana 10. Odhiambo A. Mahia 9. Odongo A. Shabana 22. Okumu K. KCB 14. Oluoch F. Posta Rangers 6. Omondi E. Police FC 25. Owino S. Mahia 24. Sakari D. Kariobangi Sharks 19. Sakwa D. 2. Siraj M. Bandari	12. Hasinirina O. Elgeco Plus 7. Manohantsoa F. 11. Rajaonarivelo R. 20. Rakotondraibe T. 6. Rakotondrajoa A. 25. Rakotoson M. 14. Ramamonjisoa O. 16. Randrianaivo T. (G) 15. Randrianantenaina H. 5. Ratsimbazafy H. 23. Ratsimbazafy M. (G) 18. Tolojanahary P.
Coaches
McCarthy B.	Rakotondrabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ranaivoson J. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
46', Andrianarimanana A. ↓, Rakotondrajoa A. ↑,
47', Rabearivelo B. 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Omija A. ⚽, Muchiri B. (A),
69', 1 - 1, Razafimaro F. (Pen),
70', Muchiri B. ↓, Omondi E. ↑,
70', Ogam R. ↓, Odongo A. ↑,
71', Rakotondraibe T. 🟨,
83', Omondi B. S. ↓, Siraj M. ↑,
83', Okwaro M. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
85', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
90', Esambe Bandi L. ↓, Sakari D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
95', Randrianirina H. 🟨,
105+1', Rabemananjara R. 🟨,
117', Onyango A. ↓, Owino S. ↑,
119', Randriamanampisoa N. ↓, Rakotoson M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Randriamanampisoa N. (Pen),
1, Siraj M. (Pen),
2, Randrianirina H. (Pen),
2, Sakari D. (Pen),
3, Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (Pen),
3, Owino S. (Pen),
4, Razafimaro F. (Pen),
4, Kibwage M. (Pen),
5, Rakotondraibe T. (Pen),
5, Omija A. (Pen),

Preview

Madagascar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kenya is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kenya will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kenya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya
African Nations Championship
17.08.25	Zambia - Kenya	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Kenya - Morocco	1:0 ✺
07.08.25	Angola - Kenya	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Kenya - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Kenya - Chad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTWW
- Madagascar
African Nations Championship
16.08.25	Burkina Faso - Madagascar	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Madagascar - Central Africa	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tanzania - Madagascar	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Madagascar - Mauritania	0:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
15.06.25	Madagascar - Comoros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
07.06.19	Kenya - Madagascar	1:0

Kenya - Madagascar