Match Info

African Nations Championship

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moi International Sports Centre (Nairobi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 4, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4, Supersport WWE
Canada	08:00	beIN Connect
Finland	15:00	Veikkaus TV
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect
Israel	15:00	5 PLUS Israel
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect
South Africa	14:00	SABC Plus, SuperSport WWE
Uganda	15:00	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	08:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Zambia		Kenya

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.35	Watch
	3.7	2.95	2.15
				Watch
	3.29	2.94	2.45
	3.64	2.86	2.25	Watch
	3.4	2.93	2.43	Watch
	3.5	2.89	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zambia
27.2%

Draw
32.6%

Kenya
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

32.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Zambia - Kenya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zambia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kenya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kalumba C. (G) Red Arrows 23. Banda M. Nkana 14. Chongo K. Kabwe 4. Nsiku H. 26. Chishimba J. Zesco 10. Mumba P. Power Dynamos 21. Chanda D. Power Dynamos 6. Tembo O. Power Dynamos 7. Kampamba K. (C) Al Madina 20. Mwanza K. Muza Fc 22. Kayombo E. NAPSA Stars	1. Faruk S. (G) Bandari 19. Sakwa D. 4. Kibwage M. Tusker 25. Owino S. Mahia 13. Esambe Bandi L. Leopards 21. Nabwire M. Police FC 8. Onyango A. Mahia 3. Omar A. (C) Police FC 15. Ogam R. Tusker 10. Odhiambo A. Mahia 17. Omondi B. S. Mahia
Substitutes
8. Bwalya L. 3. Chepeshi B. Red Arrows 2. Kamanga K. Red Arrows 13. Kampamba J. Mutondo Stars 5. Kanguluma K. Kabwe 15. Kapumbu K. 25. Kasanga K. Nkwazi 19. Mulambia F. Power Dynamos 1. Mwansa F. (G) Green Buffaloes FC 16. Mwanza W. (G) Power Dynamos 27. Sichalwe T. Atletico Lusaka 11. Zulu C. Nkana	16. Juma M. Migori 7. Michira B. Shabana 11. Muchiri B. Ulinzi Stars 9. Odongo A. Shabana 22. Okumu K. KCB 20. Okwaro M. 14. Oluoch F. Posta Rangers 5. Omija A. Mahia 23. Omondi B. (G) Tusker 24. Sakari D. Kariobangi Sharks 2. Siraj M. Bandari 18. Wekesa S. (G)
Coaches
Grant A.	McCarthy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tembo O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Mumba P. 🟨,
53', Kampamba K. 🟨,
54', Mwanza K. 🟨,
59', Odhiambo A. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
59', Sakwa D. ↓, Muchiri B. ↑,
61', Mumba P. ↓, Sichalwe T. ↑,
61', Mwanza K. ↓, Kasanga K. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Ogam R. ⚽, Muchiri B. (A),
77', Omondi B. S. ↓, Oluoch F. ↑,
77', Ogam R. ↓, Okwaro M. ↑,
77', Onyango A. ↓, Sakari D. ↑,
87', Banda M. ↓, Chepeshi B. ↑,
87', Tembo O. ↓, Bwalya L. ↑,

Preview

Kenya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kenya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zambia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zambia
African Nations Championship
14.08.25	Morocco - Zambia	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Zambia - Angola	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	D.R. Congo - Zambia	2:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
11.06.25	Botswana - Zambia	3:3 ✺
06.06.25	Zambia - Comoros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Kenya
African Nations Championship
10.08.25	Kenya - Morocco	1:0 ✺
07.08.25	Angola - Kenya	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Kenya - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Kenya - Chad	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
23.03.25	Kenya - Gabon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
27.06.24	Zambia - Kenya	0:2
Friendly
09.10.20	Kenya - Zambia	2:1
Africa Cup of Nations
04.09.16	Zambia - Kenya	1:1
06.09.15	Kenya - Zambia	1:2

Zambia - Kenya