Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Keski-Uusimaa		Tampere United

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.90	1.95
	3.50	3.50	1.80
	3.05	3.60	1.96
	3.23	3.89	2.05
	3.6	3.84	1.82	Watch
	3.10	3.85	2.01
	3.64	3.60	1.83
	3.30	3.60	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.8)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	1.91 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
27.7%

Draw
24.5%

Tampere United
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tampere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampere United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Keski Uusimaa - Tampere United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Keski-Uusimaa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tampere United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Tikkanen O. (G) 6. Azemi V. 29. Azhar L. 28. Barraza A. 15. Deng A. 19. Lokake N. 21. Marjo A. 31. Musa A. 4. Niemela O. 25. Niemi O. 13. Sivunen J.	25. Pakkanen S. (G) 19. Bradbury L. 21. Enbuska J. 6. Hasa N. 30. Heikkinen J. 9. Huhtala J. (C) 4. Kovaqi A. 23. Kyllonen L. 5. Laitinen J. 8. Lehtonen R. 15. Rantala J.
Substitutes
1. Barton R. (G) 30. Heikari S. 3. Koivunen L. 23. Kortelainen R. 11. Nenonen N. 26. Pekkala E. 24. Romppanen S. 17. Tiainen S. 33. Vuohtoniemi M.	2. Alapera J. 7. Georg J. 29. Huhta K. 1. Immonen J. (G) 17. Kesti L. 11. Rantanen J. 22. Vaisanen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Huhtala J. ⚽,
39', Kovaqi A. 🟨,
45+1', Heikari S. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
58', Deng A. ↓, Tiainen S. ↑,
67', Enbuska J. ↓, Vaisanen R. ↑,
68', Marjo A. ↓, Koivunen L. ↑,
69', Azhar L. ↓, Pekkala E. ↑,
69', Pakkanen S. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Azemi V. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Heikari S. ⚽,
81', Hasa N. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Hasa N. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Lokake N. ⚽,
89', 4 - 3, Niemi O. ⚽,
90+1', Niemi O. ↓, Nenonen N. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 4, Vaisanen R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Recent performances by Keski-Uusimaa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampere United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tampere United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tampere United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Keski-Uusimaa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Keski-Uusimaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	25	15	5	5	58:26	32	50
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Last Results with these Odds

Keski-Uusimaa - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
25.07.26	Salon Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - VJS Vantaa	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTWL
- Tampere United
Finnish Ykkonen
24.07.26	Tampere United - Inter Turku II	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	VJS Vantaa - Tampere United	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Tampere United - Salon Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	KuPS Akatemia - Tampere United	2:3 ✺
25.06.26	Jazz Pori - Tampere United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	0:0
10.08.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United	0:0
01.06.25	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2

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