Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Keski-Uusimaa		VJS Vantaa

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.90	1.91
	3.00	3.80	1.90
	2.75	3.55	2.10
	3.25	4.15	1.99
	2.64	3.83	2.24	Watch
	3.10	4.10	1.96
	3.13	4.06	1.99
	2.95	3.80	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	2 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
30.8%

Draw
23.5%

VJS Vantaa
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

24.9%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.7%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

VJS Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VJS Vantaa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Keski Uusimaa - VJS Vantaa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Keski-Uusimaa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). VJS will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VJS: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barton R. (G) 6. Azemi V. 28. Barraza A. 30. Heikari S. 19. Lokake N. 5. Makila R. (C) 31. Musa A. 4. Niemela O. 25. Niemi O. 16. Norss J. 17. Tiainen S.	23. Tynkkynen J. (G) 22. Blommendahl O. 99. Holopainen J. 10. Kaijasilta N. 29. Koivunen K. 3. Koponen T. 6. Mabinda J. 4. Marin M. 17. Merinen J. 9. Nyholm A. (C) 11. Rahja J.
Substitutes
29. Azhar L. 3. Koivunen L. 23. Kortelainen R. 21. Marjo A. 11. Nenonen N. 24. Romppanen S. 13. Sivunen J. 56. Tikkanen O. (G) 33. Vuohtoniemi M.	25. Aku A. 97. Babiker A. 20. Hannula E. 15. Hvidberg D. 24. Kumpulainen U. 1. Muurinen T. (G) 58. Ojala O. 7. Saksinen O. 19. Salo V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Koivunen K. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Tiainen S. ⚽,
37', Holopainen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Rahja J. ↓, Ojala O. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Aku A. ⚽,
62', Heikari S. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Koivunen K. ⚽,
66', Nyholm A. ↓, Hvidberg D. ↑,
66', Merinen J. ↓, Hannula E. ↑,
66', Koivunen K. ↓, Salo V. ↑,
68', Blommendahl O. 🟨,
74', Musa A. ↓, Vuohtoniemi M. ↑,
74', Norss J. ↓, Sivunen J. ↑,
74', Azemi V. ↓, Nenonen N. ↑,
86', Lokake N. ↓, Azhar L. ↑,
88', Kaijasilta N. ↓, Babiker A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Hannula E. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, VJS has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
18.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
28.06.26	KPV Kokkola - Keski-Uusimaa	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWT
- VJS Vantaa
Finnish Ykkonen
18.07.26	VJS Vantaa - Tampere United	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	VJS Vantaa - OLS	4:3 ✺
04.07.26	Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
29.06.26	VJS Vantaa - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	VJS Vantaa - RoPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTWL

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