Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Keski-Uusimaa		Tampereen Pallo-Veikot

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.75
	1.47	4.40	4.75
	1.47	4.45	4.95
	1.55	4.64	5.34
	1.5	4.44	5.13	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.47	4.4	5.21
	1.72	3.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	4.34 ↑ (3.85)	4.85 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
60.1%

Draw
21.1%

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

22.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keski-Uusimaa's performance.

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampereen Pallo-Veikot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keski-Uusimaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampereen Pallo-Veikot than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keski Uusimaa - Tampereen Pallo Veikot Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Keski-Uusimaa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Tikkanen O. (G) 28. Barraza A. 10. Karsama I. 19. Lokake N. 5. Makila R. (C) 9. Minkkinen O. 31. Musa A. 4. Niemela O. 16. Norss J. 13. Sivunen J. 15. Toivonen H.	1. Pazio J. (G) 16. Anttila V. 11. Kostiainen R. 7. Kujala A. 25. Mattila J. (C) 8. Ozcelik B. 26. Pitkakoski S. 18. Riikonen E. 27. Toijala T. 77. Veltti V. 22. Venemies J.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed M. 6. Azemi V. 29. Azhar L. 1. Barton R. (G) 23. Kortelainen R. 21. Marjo A. 17. Tiainen S.	19. Akbal M. 15. Bullock E. 20. Jadama L. 33. Kylen K. 9. Maentakanen E. 12. Pienmunne N. (G) 34. Sipila S. 56. Ylinen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Riikonen E. ⚽,
30', Sivunen J. 🟨,
41', Musa A. 🟨,
45', Norss J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Pitkakoski S. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Toijala T. ⚽,
57', Riikonen E. 🟨,
62', Sivunen J. ↓, Marjo A. ↑,
62', Norss J. ↓, Tiainen S. ↑,
63', Kujala A. 🟨,
69', Karsama I. ↓, Azhar L. ↑,
70', Kostiainen R. ↓, Jadama L. ↑,
70', Kujala A. ↓, Sipila S. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Azhar L. ⚽,
80', Riikonen E. ↓, Ylinen T. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Toivonen H. ⚽,
86', Toijala T. ↓, Maentakanen E. ↑,
87', Makila R. 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Keski-Uusimaa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

TPV is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Keski-Uusimaa is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keski-Uusimaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
06.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - Keski-Uusimaa	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Inter Turku II - Keski-Uusimaa	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Salon Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLTW
- Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
Finnish Ykkonen
06.06.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Inter Turku II	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Tampere United	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	Salon Palloilijat - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - OLS	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	RoPS - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
09.03.18	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Keski-Uusimaa	2:0

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