Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen - Relegation Group

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)


	Keski-Uusimaa		VIFK

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4
	1.57	4.33	4
	1.62	4.5	4.2
				Watch
	1.55	4.6	4.33
	1.58	4.65	4.28
	1.62	4.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	4.49 ↑ (4.33)	4.17 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
57.7%

Draw
20.4%

VIFK
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

19.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

VIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Keski Uusimaa - VIFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Hasselman N. (G) 3. Formisano M. 19. Karsama I. 24. Leinonen N. 9. Lindholm A. 5. Makila R. (C) 77. Musa A. 2. Sainio A. 17. Tiainen S. 11. Virtanen J. 4. Zahedi A.	12. Nygard W. (G) 3. Baseme A. 14. Doudi A. M. 30. Etoka L. 16. Forsbacka R. 18. Hiekkanen E. 8. Jarv A. 15. Kautonen T. 5. Nuutinen A. (C) 7. Pahkasalo A. 19. Xhosa S.
Substitutes
15. Hahl H. 13. Kobayashi M. 10. Lilja S. 36. Lokake N. 8. Pllana A. 14. Umetsu N. 12. Volotinen S. (G)	2. Birhane M. 6. F. Gatambyie 9. Hammar R. 10. Morrissey S. 27. Osterblad F. 1. Vironen A. (G) 24. Westermark E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Zahedi A. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Baseme A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Lindholm A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Karsama I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', Doudi A. M. ↓, F. Gatambyie ↑,
59', Leinonen N. ↓, Umetsu N. ↑,
59', Karsama I. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
62', Forsbacka R. ↓, Morrissey S. ↑,
63', Jarv A. ↓, Hammar R. ↑,
63', Nuutinen A. ↓, Birhane M. ↑,
66', F. Gatambyie 🟨,
70', Zahedi A. ↓, Pllana A. ↑,
70', Virtanen J. ↓, Lokake N. ↑,
70', Umetsu N. 🟨,
71', Morrissey S. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Morrissey S. ⚽,
79', Kautonen T. ↓, Osterblad F. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Hammar R. ⚽,
81', Lindholm A. ↓, Lilja S. ↑,
87', Etoka L. 🟨,
88', Lokake N. 🟨,
90', 3 - 4, Pahkasalo A. ⚽,

Preview

Keski-Uusimaa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

VIFK has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

VIFK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Keski-Uusimaa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Keski-Uusimaa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Keski-Uusimaa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
22.09.24	Espoon Palloseura - Keski-Uusimaa	4:5 ✺
14.09.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
31.08.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Klubi 04	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	VIFK - Keski-Uusimaa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTW
- VIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
14.09.24	Espoon Palloseura - VIFK	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	RoPS - VIFK	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	VIFK - OLS	2:3 ✺
17.08.24	VIFK - Keski-Uusimaa	1:4 ✺
09.08.24	Vaajakoski - VIFK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
17.08.24	VIFK - Keski-Uusimaa	1:4
02.06.24	Keski-Uusimaa - VIFK	2:2

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