Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)


	VIFK		OLS

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6.5	4.75	1.38
	6.74	4.9	1.4
	6.71	4.74	1.37	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.33
	6.91	4.9	1.37
	6.5	4.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.56)	4.74 ↑ (4.05)	1.37 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VIFK
14%

Draw
19.3%

OLS
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

22.6%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VIFK's form might have worsened.

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OLS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OLS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

VIFK - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nygard W. (G) 3. Baseme A. 2. Birhane M. (C) 14. Doudi A. M. 9. Hammar R. 8. Jarv A. 15. Kautonen T. 29. Myllari W. 5. Nuutinen A. 7. Pahkasalo A. 19. Xhosa S.	59. Sillanpaa O. (G) 25. Jatta M. 36. Kahkonen R. 32. Nurmela A. 51. Paananen J. 48. Parkkila O. 6. Peltola A. 47. Raittinen E. (C) 45. Saarikoski V. 16. Salmensuu O. 7. Suutari O.
Substitutes
30. Etoka L. 16. Forsbacka R. 18. Hiekkanen E. 10. Morrissey S. 27. Osterblad F. 11. Stromback V. 1. Vironen A. (G)	40. Korhonen J. 38. Merikanto E. 23. Pentti J. (G) 53. Raisanen A. 44. Saarela E. 60. Saily D. 57. Silander S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Suutari O. ⚽,
29', Xhosa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Myllari W. ↓, Etoka L. ↑,
46', Doudi A. M. ↓, Forsbacka R. ↑,
62', Hammar R. ↓, Stromback V. ↑,
69', Kahkonen R. ↓, Merikanto E. ↑,
69', Saarikoski V. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Pahkasalo A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Raittinen E. ⚽,
72', Nuutinen A. ↓, Morrissey S. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Merikanto E. ⚽,
78', Salmensuu O. 🟨,
79', Morrissey S. 🟨,
82', Jarv A. ↓, Osterblad F. ↑,
82', Salmensuu O. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
87', Suutari O. ↓, Saily D. ↑,
87', Parkkila O. ↓, Saarela E. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

VIFK is Ykkonen (Relegation Group )

OLS is Qualified for Ykkonen (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches VIFK won 1.

VIFK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

OLS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

OLS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match OLS is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches VIFK won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams VIFK won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
17.08.24	VIFK - Keski-Uusimaa	1:4 ✺
09.08.24	Vaajakoski - VIFK	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	VIFK - Jazz Pori	2:3 ✺
28.07.24	Klubi 04 - VIFK	9:3 ✺
20.07.24	VIFK - Atlantis Helsinki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLLW
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
17.08.24	RoPS - OLS	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	OLS - KPV Kokkola	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	3:2 ✺
27.07.24	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	3:0 ✺
19.07.24	OLS - Vaajakoski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
03.07.24	OLS - VIFK	2:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
12.08.23	VIFK - OLS	0:5
21.05.23	OLS - VIFK	2:0
09.10.22	VIFK - OLS	2:1
24.07.22	VIFK - OLS	1:1
08.05.22	OLS - VIFK	0:1
26.09.21	OLS - VIFK	5:2

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