Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 29

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday


	Kettering Town		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3.1	2.17
	2.8	3.2	2.33
	3.18	3.18	2.23
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.15	3.3	2.2
	3	3.2	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.5)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
30.2%

Draw
28.8%

Curzon Ashton
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kettering Town's form might have worsened.

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Curzon Ashton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kettering Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Kettering Town - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kettering will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Curzon Ashton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kettering won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Kettering have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
25.02.23	Kettering Town - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
21.02.23	Kettering Town - Farsley	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Blyth Spartans - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Kettering Town - Fylde	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Kettering Town - Buxton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTT
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
25.02.23	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.23	Curzon Ashton - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	4:3 ✺
07.02.23	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.08.22	Curzon Ashton - Kettering Town	1:0
07.05.22	Curzon Ashton - Kettering Town	1:1
15.01.22	Kettering Town - Curzon Ashton	3:0
14.11.20	Kettering Town - Curzon Ashton	1:2
01.02.20	Kettering Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0
02.12.19	Curzon Ashton - Kettering Town	0:0

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