Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.79	3.21	2.49
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.76	3.3	2.44
	2.8	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.12)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.54 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
34.9%

Draw
28.9%

Buxton
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kettering Town's form might have worsened.

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kettering Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kettering Town - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kettering have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
04.02.23	Banbury United - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
31.01.23	Kettering Town - Boston United	3:2 ✺
28.01.23	Alfreton Town - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
17.01.23	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLTT
- Buxton FC
English National League North
04.02.23	Buxton - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	0:3 ✺
24.01.23	Farsley - Buxton	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Buxton - Hereford	0:1 ✺
17.01.23	Fylde - Buxton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.09.22	Buxton - Kettering Town	2:2
English FA Cup
19.10.21	Buxton - Kettering Town	3:1 ET
16.10.21	Kettering Town - Buxton	2:2

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