Match Info

National League North - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.45	3.2
	2.09	3.74	3.12
	2.07	3.74	3.12	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.07	3.35	3.14
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.81)	3.51 ↓ (3.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
44.5%

Draw
26%

Alfreton Town
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curzon Ashton's form might have worsened.

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curzon Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Weston T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, McCann B. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Holmes B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Curzon Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Curzon Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
29.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Fylde	1:3 ✺
25.11.25	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Worksop Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Ilkeston - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
25.11.25	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Merthyr Town - Alfreton Town	6:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alfreton Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.04.25	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	0:0
01.01.25	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1
06.04.24	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0
06.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	2:1
25.02.23	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	0:1
07.02.23	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	1:2
26.04.22	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	4:2

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