Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Kettering Town		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	2.15	3.4	2.82
	2.6	3.45	2.44
	2.22	3.34	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.68 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
39.2%

Draw
26.9%

Harborough Town
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Kettering Town - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Newton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Kettering is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Harborough is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kettering won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kettering won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kettering Town - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.54%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Real Bedford - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Kettering Town - Leiston	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Royston Town - Kettering Town	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Kettering Town - Basingstoke Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Bury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
12.08.25	Harborough Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Harborough Town - Needham Market	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Alcorcón - Harborough Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
30.04.25	Kettering Town - Harborough Town	1:0 penalties
01.01.25	Harborough Town - Kettering Town	2:1
26.08.24	Kettering Town - Harborough Town	1:1

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