Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Kettering Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.60	3.80
	1.72	3.6	3.85
	1.66	3.8	4.17
	1.72	3.98	4.22	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.05
	1.64	3.74	4.36
	1.71	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	4.04 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
53.5%

Draw
24.2%

Leiston
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kettering Town's performance.

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Kettering Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Gyasi M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Panter E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 3 - 0, Harvey P. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Alexandrou T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 8th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kettering won 3.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Kettering could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kettering carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Kettering has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kettering against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25:11	14	25
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22:23	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Kettering Town - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Kettering Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Kettering Town - Worcester City	1:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Kettering Town - Anstey Nomads	4:1 ✺
22.09.26	Rushall Olympic - Kettering Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Leiston
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Leiston - Guiseley	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.10.26	Racing Club Warwick - Leiston	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leiston - Coventry United	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Leiston - Dartford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
10.01.26	Leiston - Kettering Town	4:1
12.08.25	Kettering Town - Leiston	3:0
01.03.25	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:2
23.11.24	Kettering Town - Leiston	2:1
09.04.24	Kettering Town - Leiston	2:2
24.10.23	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:2
30.03.19	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:1

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