Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.43	4.5	5.6
	1.43	4.9	6.09
	1.4	4.5	6.15
	1.43	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	4.6 ↑ (3.89)	5.79 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
64.4%

Draw
19.8%

Hitchin Town
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Kettering Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Dos Santos Martins D. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Deall R. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Edwards J. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, White L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kettering won 4.

Recent matches Kettering is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hitchin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kettering is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Kettering won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Stamford - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Kettering Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kettering Town - St Ives Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWTL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bishops Stortford - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3
27.01.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:1
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:1
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	0:4
22.12.18	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	5:0
11.08.18	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:1
English Southern Premier League
14.04.18	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	4:1

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