Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Kettering Town		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.62
	4.33	4.2	1.6
	4.3	4.35	1.62
	4.3	4.36	1.62
	4.35	4.05	1.6
	4.33	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (5.44)	4.19 ↓ (4.33)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
21.5%

Draw
21.8%

Mickleover Sports
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.9%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

20.3%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mickleover Sports might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kettering Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mickleover Sports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kettering Town - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Kettering is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mickleover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Mickleover is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Leamington - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Kettering Town - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
31.10.23	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Berkhamsted - Kettering Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Mickleover Sports
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Spennymoor Town - Mickleover Sports	1:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Mickleover Sports - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Stratford Town - Mickleover Sports	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	0:5 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Mickleover Sports - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
01.11.14	Mickleover Sports - Kettering Town	3:2

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