Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.25	6.25
	1.3	5.5	7
	1.33	6.05	6.42
	1.33	6.05	6.42
	1.3	5.2	7.1
	1.3	5.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.59)	5.59 ↑ (4.4)	6.7 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
69.9%

Draw
16.4%

Kettering Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kettering Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kettering Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coalville Town - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kettering could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coalville is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.11.23	Coalville Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
21.10.23	Coalville Town - Berkhamsted	9:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.11.23	Leamington - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Kettering Town - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
31.10.23	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Berkhamsted - Kettering Town	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.21	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	2:4
English Southern League Central Division
05.03.19	Kettering Town - Coalville Town	2:3
12.01.19	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	2:2

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