Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Keçiörengücü		Muş Spor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2	3.4	3.49
	1.92	3.36	3.49
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	1.94	3.58	3.52	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.48)	3.45 ↓ (4.22)	3.33 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
46%

Draw
26.6%

Muş Spor
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

21.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.

Muş Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muş Spor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muş Spor than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muş Spor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Keçiörengücü - Muş Spor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Muş Spor will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Atac B. (G) 22. Ayan H. 20. Budak B. 8. Cetin S. 10. Dembele P. M. 33. Innocent C. 69. Mayi K. 36. Nahirci O. 17. Nyarko E. 41. Sarman H. A. 35. Yildirim B.	53. Gunay I. (G) 10. Abdullah Cakmak A. 4. Aslanboga M. 8. Capkan M. 49. Cetinbas O. 18. Gedik F. 5. Karaoglu E. 22. Kocaaga O. 20. Tunc T. 41. Yildirim A. 99. Yildirim Y.
Substitutes
7. Ariyibi G. 1. Avci O. (G) 11. Bardhi J. 14. Camara M. 16. Colak O. 6. Develi E. 9. Inan M. 19. Mara U. 26. Ozdemir O. 66. Tuzlacik T.	9. Avsar I. 7. Basdemir B. 21. Birinci E. 35. Gabel E. (G) 14. Ikikardes U. 90. Korkmazer A. 2. Kursunlu S. 29. Pazar E. 6. Torbaci K. 88. Yazici K.

Preview

Recent matches Keçiörengücü is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muş Spor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Muş Spor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Muş Spor have a series of guest games.

In this match Keçiörengücü is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:3 ✺
27.11.23	Gençlerbirliği - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
31.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Burhaniye	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTWW
- Muş Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
01.12.23	Siirt İl Özel İdare - Muş Spor	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Muş Spor - Orduspor 1967	0:3 ✺
18.11.23	Kestelspor - Muş Spor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
31.10.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
28.10.23	Nevşehir Belediyespor - Muş Spor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TLWWW

Upcoming Matches