Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Khaan Khuns-Erchim		Ulaanbaatar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	5.5	1.3
	11.98	9.77	1.05
				Watch
	12.7	9.9	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.31 ↑ (3.65)	8.39 ↑ (5)	1.14 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khaan Khuns-Erchim
8.9%

Draw
10.9%

Ulaanbaatar
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

18.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

17.8%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khaan Khuns-Erchim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khaan Khuns-Erchim's form might have worsened.

Ulaanbaatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulaanbaatar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khaan Khuns-Erchim than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khaan Khuns-Erchim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulaanbaatar than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulaanbaatar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Khaan Khuns Erchim - Ulaanbaatar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +3.5 - Khaan Khuns-Erchim (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khaan Khuns-Erchim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Batbold B. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Jargaltuyaa T. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Temuulen U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khaan Khuns-Erchim won 1.

Khaan Khuns-Erchim is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ulaanbaatar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ulaanbaatar is the team to beat.

We predict that Ulaanbaatar will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Khaan Khuns-Erchim won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Khaan Khuns-Erchim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Mongolian Premier League
27.06.25	Falcons - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	12:0 ✺
22.06.25	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Deren	1:3 ✺
19.06.25	Khoromkhon - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	5:4 ✺
11.06.25	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Khovd	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Khangarid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolian Premier League
28.06.25	Ulaanbaatar - Brera Ilch	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Hunters - Ulaanbaatar	2:4 ✺
19.06.25	Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar	6:2 ✺
15.06.25	Ulaanbaatar - Falcons	3:4 ✺
11.06.25	Ulaanbaatar - Deren	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
13.04.25	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	2:1
26.09.24	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar	3:2
02.11.23	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	5:0
07.05.23	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	5:1
11.03.23	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar	0:4
24.08.22	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	4:1
30.06.22	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	1:0

Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide