Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Khangarid		Ulaanbaatar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	4.50	1.71
	3.15	5.04	1.83
	3.51	3.86	1.66
	3.32	4.50	1.79
	6	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (6.55)	4.58 ↓ (4.6)	1.66 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khangarid
24.1%

Draw
20.2%

Ulaanbaatar
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

20%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.4%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khangarid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khangarid's performance.

Ulaanbaatar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulaanbaatar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khangarid than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khangarid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulaanbaatar than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulaanbaatar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Matsumoto R. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Mijiddorj O. ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, Mijiddorj O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
66', 2 - 2, Bilguun G. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Altansukh T. ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, Delgeen A. ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, Hobeen Jo ⚽,

Preview

Ulaanbaatar is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Challenge League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khangarid won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Khangarid has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ulaanbaatar is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Khangarid won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Khangarid won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.5:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Ulaanbaatar	5	4	1	0	26:3	23	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khangarid FC
Mongolian Premier League
30.06.26	Deren - Khangarid	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Khovd Western - Khangarid	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Khovd - Khangarid	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW
- FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolian Premier League
30.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	0:3 ✺
17.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ulaanbaatar - Deren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
24.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	3:1
17.05.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	3:1
14.10.25	Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar	1:3
19.06.25	Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar	6:2
22.03.25	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	0:0
25.08.24	Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar	0:2
14.05.22	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	4:1

Khangarid - Ulaanbaatar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide