Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)


	Kharkiv		Lokomotyv Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.5
	1.46	4.05	7.35	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.57	4.17	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.24)	4.02 ↓ (5.88)	5.91 ↓ (11.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
61.3%

Draw
23%

Lokomotyv Kyiv
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

15.9%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Lokomotyv Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotyv Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.

Kharkiv - Lokomotyv Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. 26. Zabergja B. 11. Churko V. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 15. Antyukh D. 98. Itodo P.	12. Belimenko A. (G) 99. Yarmak Y. 5. Syrash M. 55. Konovalov V. 2. Bagriy P. 88. Melnychenko I. 90. Savchuk P. 77. Savchuk O. 17. Golovatenko A. 27. Tymenko V. 7. Mordas B.
Substitutes
7. Ari Moura 8. Castillo S. 77. Cauan Baptistella 71. Denysovych T. 37. Dubko V. 2. Kapinus D. 25. Lytvynenko I. 24. Martynyuk O. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 19. Rashica E. 74. Snurnitsyn I.	16. Lukyanchuk P. 1. Matus A. (G) 10. Mochevinskiy I. 6. Sabalayev A. 44. Titarenko T. 13. Yesaulov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Zabergja B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Golovatenko A. ↓, Mochevinskiy I. ↑,
63', Churko V. ↓, Cauan Baptistella ↑,
63', Antyukh D. ↓, Rashica E. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Itodo P. ⚽,
69', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
74', Savchuk P. 🟨,
75', Tymenko V. ↓, Zubkov I. ↑,
75', Savchuk O. ↓, Ikenna S. ↑,
78', Zabergja B. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
78', Itodo P. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
78', Savchuk P. ↓, Sabalayev A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Lytvynenko I. ⚽,

Preview

Metalist 1925 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lokomotyv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metalist 1925 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.26	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.26	Molde - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Hammarby	3:4 ✺
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWLW
- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Druha Liga
17.11.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Oleksandriya 2	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Nyva Vinnycja	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
12.10.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Dinaz Vyshgorod	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Livyi Bereh 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
03.08.24	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kharkiv	1:4

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