Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kharkiv		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6.1
	1.49	3.91	7.64
	1.61	3.81	6.14	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.5	3.8	7.1	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	3.72 ↑ (3.49)	6.37 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
60%

Draw
25.3%

Oleksandriya
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kharkiv's performance.

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Kharkiv - Oleksandriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 45. Kalitvintsev V. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 15. Antyukh D. 98. Itodo P. 26. Zabergja B.	72. Makarenko N. (G) 20. Vashchenko D. 26. Ferreira M. (C) 86. Bol A. 23. Oharkov M. 5. Fernando Henrique 71. Shostak D. 10. Buletsa S. 19. Jota 37. Yade P. 27. Cara T.
Substitutes
8. Castillo S. 11. Churko V. 37. Dubko V. 2. Kapinus D. 17. Kogut I. 88. Korol A. 25. Lytvynenko I. 1. Mozil O. (G) 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 74. Snurnitsyn I.	49. Amaral M. 50. Behiratche J. 91. Butko B. 40. Chernysh D. 44. Jhonnatan 79. Khmelovskyy D. 77. Kremchanin D. 97. Prokopenko N. 67. Rodrigues M. 11. Shulyanskyi A. 61. Stovba M. (G) 24. Touati H.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Nesterenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Buletsa S. ↓, Amaral M. ↑,
14', Oharkov M. 🟨,
29', Salyuk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jota ↓, Butko B. ↑,
65', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
68', Vashchenko D. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
68', Cara T. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
73', Antyukh D. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
73', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
80', Shostak D. ↓, Behiratche J. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Zabergja B. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Itodo P. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
90', Jhonnatan 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1.

Metalist 1925 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metalist 1925 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metalist 1925 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.02.26	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.26	Molde - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Hammarby	3:4 ✺
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Kharkiv - Pardubice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLWL
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
23.02.26	Oleksandriya - Obolon	Obolon awarded ✺
12.12.25	Oleksandriya - Kudrivka	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?TLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.25	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	1:4
11.12.23	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:3
05.08.23	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	1:0
15.04.23	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:0
27.02.23	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	3:3
05.11.21	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
26.10.21	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	2:5

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